If gas were hoarded, pressure decline curve would've changed in KG-D6: Atul Chandra

0 comments
Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) got a breather from the government in the form of a higher gas price from next year in return for a bank guarantee but the company would still need to prove its innocence on the charge of gas hoarding. Atul Chandra, an industry veteran who has worked with RIL as president (petroleum business) and ONGC Videsh as managing director, spoke to Jyoti Mukul on how hoarding is not possible. Edited excerpts:

Why is it that gas volumes produced from KG-D6 are less, though RIL had projected higher production?

Earth is not uniform. Through drilling, you are trying to understand an area. Drilling is based data you gather through technologies like imaging and seismic survey. Your confidence level improves as you drill. If reservoirs are more complex, mistakes happen. There are geological surprises, too. Imagine a gas cylinder. The more you draw gas, the pressure will decline and slowly it will become zero.

S K Srivastava, former director general hydrocarbons, had some time ago made a statement that Reliance is hoarding gas in the D6 field. The field was not showing any production decline at that time. By his understanding, if additional wells were drilled, higher gas production could be achieved. But soon after his statement, the field started showing distinct production and pressure decline. The main producing geo-body was well-connected, indicating that drilling additional production wells will not serve much purpose. The slope of pressure decline curve would have changed if Reliance was intentionally hoarding gas production but this is not the case.

But there are instances, especially in West Asia, where wells are shut when production is reduced.

Each reservoir behaves differently. If you do not produce at the required rate, you could lose the reserves. Sometimes, gas is released and crude oil production stops. In Assam, as head of operations with Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC), we had to shut down oil wells several times during 1988-1992 due to local bandhs and insurgency. Production could not come to the original level when production was resumed.

How is it that RIL found more gas in MJ-1 when it was under pressure from the government?

There are allegations that D55 drilling and gas discovery were deliberately delayed, which would have been termed hoarding. But the fact is MJ-1 was an exploration well in the D1-D3 mining lease area, that resulted in D55 gas discovery in a far deeper geologic formation and therefore its success (gas discovery) could not be assured in advance. Also, the government did not allow exploration in mining lease areas for several years, until an enabling policy circular was issued in 2013.

No oil company will take the risk to drill a deepwater exploration well, based on speculative 2-D seismic on early 90s vintage technology. Some experts have speculated the D-55 structure must have been known to RIL through such speculative surveys for long. D-55 prospect was identified through a focused and high technology processing, after Reliance made oil discovery in the same play in MA in 2006. Results of further exploration wells drilled subsequently in the same play outside that mining lease area were not encouraging.

Later, when BP joined Reliance, a regional study integrating all the data was carried out and the D-55 prospect was upgraded for drilling. This discovery is not only a great contribution to national wealth but has also opened new thinking in terms of exploration. Therefore, there was no deliberate delay in identifying and drilling of the D55 prospect by Reliance.

Wouldn’t you agree there was overestimation of reserves earlier, when RIL got its field development plan approved?

Based on the information available in 2005, one of the world’s most renowned consultants, Gaffney Cline & Associates, was commissioned to estimate resources.  In the model prepared by them, it looked like several sand bodies amalgamated into one large reservoir unit.  And, any inferior quality sand bodies in the fringe area would be connected and contribute to the main reservoir in the core.  The estimation of resources was based on this model. It was also understood at that point in time that drilling of these isolated or dispersed areas with lower resource concentration will not be economically viable.

Subsequent well and production data in the area showed one main pool  with large volume and dispersed volumes of gas in numerous small pools in the fringe, which were disconnected and might not be commercially exploitable. Even then, RIL drilled two wells in these inter-channel areas, with lower resource concentration to collect data. Thus, the RIL application for a mining lease was not on false pretences and the simplistic assumption that all gas pools are isolated and small is not correct.

Commercial decisions need actual data for risk mitigation before major investments. The first step in this direction is high-tech seismic survey and its processing. RIL has rightly followed this route.

Such developments, in early stages, in reserve estimation and geological surprises are a part of normal risk in the international exploration and production business, especially while dealing with virgin basins that has no analogy. We all become wiser in the hindsight.

Some in the industry say if it is not hoarding, then RIL could have damaged the reservoir.

There is a certain optimum level beyond which you cannot produce. If you start producing more than that, there could be water and sand ingression that could choke the well and damage it. But this has not happened.

There is a demand that RIL should be thrown out of the production-sharing contract (PSC). Has such a thing happened globally?

I haven’t heard of anything like that. PSCs are progressive and structured in a way to promote investment and production. Take the case of Oman. When we signed a PSC in 2005, the agreement did not have a provision for gas production. When this was pointed out to the minister there, he said the terms of contract would be changed to give a 15 per cent rate of return to the company to make gas production viable. RIL, however, surrendered the block when after drilling a few wells, it did not find oil or gas.

Even when I was in ONGC Videsh and we acquired a block in Iraq, we were asked to pay a signature bonus of some $8 million but due to UN sanctions, we could not pay it. We told their government it was not possible to pay due to unforeseen circumstances. At this, we were told we could do without paying the bonus. A country can succeed only when there are companies ready to take huge risk and when the government plays a role of an enabler.

Source: Business Standard

Gas prices may jump to $10 in 2016-17, from $4.2 now

0 comments
Natural gas prices in India may jump to $ 10 within three years of implementation of the Rangarajan formula, generating enough additional revenue to meet higher subsidy outgo on the fertiliser sector.

The government has decided to price all domestically produced gas by both public and private sector firms at an average price of LNG imports into India and benchmark global gas rates from April 1, 2014.

Barclays Equity Research estimates the price will be $ 8.3 per million Britis ..

Read more at:
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/27795011.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst

RIL-BP front-runner for picking 25% stake in Mundra Terminal

0 comments
Reliance Industries-BP combine is leading the race for picking up 25 per stake in Gujarat government's planned LNG import terminal at Mundra, officials said today.

India Gas Solutions Pvt Ltd - the equal joint venture between the Mukesh Ambani-led firm and Europe's second largest oil firm - is among the three companies shortlisted by Gujarat government for giving out 25 per cent stake in the Mundra terminal.

State-owned Indian Oil Corp (IOC) and Oil and Natural Gas Corp (ONGC) are the other two firms shortlisted, officials said on the sidelines of 8th Asia Gas Partnership Summit here. Initially 8 firms including state gas utility GAIL India had expressed interest to buy 25 per cent stake in the 5 million tonnes a year liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal being planned by the state government owned Gujarat State Petroleum Corp (GSPC).

The official said GSPC is likely to finalise the partner in next few days. 

"Essentially, GSPC is looking at a partner which can bring in LNG, can consume the imported liquid gas as well and market the fuel," he said adding RIL-BP fits the bill perfectly. BP is a producer and trader of LNG while RIL's twin refineries at Jamnagar in Gujarat as well as its large petrochemical plants are huge consumers of gas. The duo are also marketers of gas in the country. IOC and ONGC, on the other hand, are only consumers of the fuel.

Experts wonder why GAIL was left out because it unlike RIL has experience of operating LNG terminal and is owner of majority of the nation's gas pipeline network. GAIL, which has aggressively tied up LNG supplies from US to Russia, is the biggest marketer of gas in the country.

Besides the three, other firms which had expressed interest included Petronet LNG Ltd, Torrent Energy, Japan’s Mitsui & Co and Toyota Tsusho, the official said. GSPC would hold 50 per cent stake in the Rs 5,200 crore project while Adani Group would take 25 per cent.

The project is to be financed in a debt to equity ratio of 70:30. The terminal capacity would be expandable upto 10 million tonnes per annum. Sources said most of the companies that have expressed interest, want to import their own liquid gas (LNG) and sell it to consumers in the vastly energy deficit country.

GSPC has been scouting for a strategic investor for its LNG project, after Essar group — the third partner with a 25 per cent stake in the venture — exited from the terminal. The LNG terminal will have two LNG storage tanks. It will have LNG receiving, re-gasification and gas evacuation facilities.

GSPC has awarded the front-end engineering and design (FEED) contract to Tractebel of Belgium. Mundra will be the third LNG import terminal in Gujarat, after Petronet's 10 million tonnes per annum capacity facility at Dahej and Shell's 5 million tonnes Hazira LNG terminal. The terminal is expected to go on stream by first quarter of 2016, sources said. Gujarat is mulling another LNG terminal at Pipavav of 2.5 to 5 million tonnes capacity.

Source:Financial Chronicle

Private oil & gas companies may get nod to explore shale resources soon

0 comments
The oil ministry may soon move a Cabinet note allowing exploration of shale resources by private firms in blocks held by them, a move that comes at a time when it is also preparing the ground for launching the fifth round of bidding for coal bed methane blocks after a gap of more than three years. 

The government also plans to extend, albeit with a few stringent conditions, the recently approved shale exploration policy which allows only state-run ONGC and Oil India to explore shale resources in their existing oil and gas blocks, officials said.

The ministry has proposed automatic extension of lease period in blocks held by private companies if they are interested in exploring shale oil and gas. But only such blocks will get extension where the lease will expire after two years, officials said.

Energy explorers have slammed this condition for extension. "If two years, why not two days? What is the purpose of the government? Is it to encourage exploration or restrict it? India has no proven shale oil and gas and the restriction will discourage private investments," said a member of Association of Oil and Gas Operators (AOGO), requesting anonymity.

About two dozen energy firms, including Cairn India, ONGC, Reliance Industries, BP and BG, are members of AOGO.

Oil ministry officials, however, justified the cut-off date to avoid the misuse of shale exploration policy. "Cut-off date is a must so that private operators do not give the excuse of shale exploration to extend their lease periods," an official said, adding, "Blocks where the lease period will expire in less than two years will be re-auctioned after the expiry of the licence under the unified exploration policy."

The proposed unified exploration policy will allow energy firms to explore all kinds of oil and gas resources, including shale gas and coal bed methane (CBM) in a block. Currently, operators get separate licences for exploring conventional oil and gas and CBM.

The oil ministry is also considering launch of the fifth round of CBM auction, for which it has already identified five-six blocks. "We plan to offer about 10 CBM blocks in the round," another official said. The auction was frozen after the fourth round in 2010 because of Coal India's (CIL's) claim over most of the coal blocks. After initial reluctance, the oil ministry accepted the right over CBM trapped in the coal blocks held by the state-run monopoly miner's. "A formal order to allow CBM exploration by CIL in coal blocks held by them will be announced after the Cabinet's approval," the official said.

The oil ministry initially wanted to auction all blocks for CBM exploration, but after discussion with the coal ministry it realised that multiple operatorship would not only be inefficient but also risky as coal mines are susceptible to collapse. "It is better if CIL also explores CBM because it knows the topography of each coal mines," the official said. There was protracted turf war between the coal and oil ministries because the former holds rights over coal mining and the latter controls oil and gas resources, including CBM

Source: ET