Gazprom mulls increased LNG supplies to India by 2020: official

0 comments
Gazprom is considering increasing its LNG supplies to India to as much as 5 million mt/year by 2020, according to a company official.

"With a portfolio of 25 million mt/year, we could potentially sell as much as 5 million mt/year to India," Alexander Medvedev, deputy chairman of Gazprom's management board, said in an interview with Platts.

Gazprom recently reached an agreement to potentially raise LNG supplies to India's state-owned buyer GAIL to 3.5 million mt/year from the earlier agreed 2.5 million mt/year.

The duration of the contract may also be increased from 20 years to 25 years, with supplies expected to start from 2019, Medvedev said.

Gazprom is also in discussions with other Indian buyers for the supply of additional long-term volumes.

"We are interested in the Indian market," Medvedev said.

The producer plans to supply its Indian customers with LNG from its offtake position at the 9.6 million mt/year Sakhalin-2 export plant on Russia's east coast, as well as from upcoming LNG projects, including Colombia's 500,000 mt/year Caribbean floating LNG, which is due to commence operations in 2015, Medvedev said.

"We have the fleet and multiple supply sources, so we will deliver the volumes that will be optimal for us and for our clients," he said.

"We can deliver the volumes from both of our new projects, Vladivostok LNG and Baltic LNG, we can deliver them from Sakhalin LNG and also from our portfolio, including Colombia," Medvedev said.

Source: Platts

Oil sector staring at Rs 16,000 crore inventory losses: Crisil

0 comments
Sinking crude oil prices have resulted in aggregate inventory losses of around Rs 16,000 crore for oil companies in the third quarter of the current fiscal, said Crisil ratings today.

It added that a substantial share of this will be borne by refiners.

Brent has fallen about 50% from its high of $115.71 per barrel on 19 June, 2014. Between the September and December, it fell by a third, and closed out the year at $55 per barrel. Prices of petroleum derivatives such as polymers and chemicals also declined by around 30%.

"This will mean inventory losses for refiners, traders and manufacturers of downstream petroleum products because their raw material purchases would have been at higher prices," said Crisil in a statement today.

Crisil's calculations are based on an analysis of about 250 Crisil-rated companies including refiners, traders, polymer processors, and bulk and specialty chemical manufacturers.

These companies have average total inventory holding of about 45 days. It typically ranges between 30 and 60 days, depending on the location of plant, processing time, and price outlook.

For oil marketing companies, the losses are partly offset by higher profit margins from retail sales of petrol and diesel after deregulation of prices. Current prices reduce both -- dependence on subsidy from the government and inventory costs for these companies. This, in turn, will mean substantially lower working capital requirements, leading to fewer short-term borrowings and ultimately lower interest cost.

"Support from the government, given it's strategic importance, higher profit margins on marketing of petroleum products, lower dependence on subsidy payments, and lesser working capital loans will sustain the credit profiles of oil refiners," said Pawan Agrawal, Chief Analytical Officer, Crisil ratings.

On the other hand, the impact of inventory losses on chemical traders and downstream processors of crude oil, polymers and chemicals will depend on their product profiles, hedging policies, extent of inventory build-up, and strength of balance sheets. These companies have begun to actively reduce inventories to minimise the pain of the sharp fall in crude oil prices. This should help ease potential pressure on credit profiles.

"We expect the impact to be higher on credit profiles of companies that have weak debt protection metrics, elevated gearing levels, and higher inventory holding," said Agrawal.

In the medium to long term, these companies will benefit from lower working capital borrowings and reduced interest costs arising from lower prices of inputs.

Source: B.S

Lower crude prices to boost Asia-Pacific sovereigns: Moody's

0 comments
Global rating agency Moody's today said lower global crude oil prices since June last will benefit most Asia-Pacific sovereigns, including India, as the region is a net oil importer.

Crude prices more than halved between June 2014 and January 2015, reflecting higher-than-expected oil and shale gas production in the US and lower demand in emerging markets coupled with OPEC's refusal to lower output.

In the December quarter alone crude prices have fell around 60 per cent.

The government and the RBI have said the lower oil prices will help the country save at least USD 50 billion this year in crude imports, which stood at over USD 150 billion last fiscal.

According to RBI the lower import bill help the country contain CAD at 1.3 per cent of GDP this fiscal.

"As long as oil prices remain low, the direct effects will be positive on trade balances and downward on inflation in most Asian countries," Moody's senior vice-president for Asia-Pacific and Middle East Thomas Byrne said.

"Lower inflation and import costs, in turn, will likely support growth by raising consumer purchasing power, lowering investment input costs and increasing monetary policy flexibility," Moody's senior vice president Atsi Seth said.

However, growth acceleration may be checked by lower global growth and international financial uncertainty in 2015, she added.

The rating agency said lower oil prices which led to fuel subsidy reforms supports sovereign ratings of India (Baa3 stable), Malaysia (A3 positive) and Indonesia (Baa3).

However, it said in Indonesia and Malaysia, lower hydrocarbon-related government revenues will erode the impact of these gains on the budget balance.

The rating agency has lowered its price assumptions for Brent crude to USD 55 per barrel through 2015 and USD 65 per barrel in 2016.

While it expects oil prices to eventually rebound as demand increases and low prices create an eventual supply response as producers reduce their capital spending, this supply response will not be meaningful until at least 2016.

Source: ET

Russia, India, China to cooperate in energy, global issues

0 comments
Russia, India and China Monday agreed to explore the potential for cooperation in the field of oil and natural among themselves and in other fields of energy and in environmental protection and to further strengthen coordination on global issues.

External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj, her Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi met for the 13th Foreign Ministers Meeting of the Russia-India-China trilateral here.

In a joint communiqué, the three countries stressed on the importance of pursuing a new type of international relations featuring win-win cooperation and on the need to respect diversity of civilisations and the independent choice of development path and social system by the people of all countries and, support peaceful settlement of disputes through political and diplomatic means.

"They expressed their support to the idea of adopting a UN General Assembly resolution on the inadmissibility of intervention and interference in the internal affairs of states. They opposed forced regime change in any country from the outside, or imposition of unilateral sanctions based on domestic laws," said the communique.

The West has slapped sanctions on Russia over the unrest in Ukraine and the breakaway of Crimea. The government in Ukraine is backed by the West and is anti-Russia, a departure from the earlier government which was perceived as pro-Kremlin.

In Syria too, the West has been insistent on change of the violence-hit government of President Bashar-al-Assad, which Russia, and China have been against while India has maintained negotiations as the way out.

They also backed the need for comprehensive reform of the United Nations, including its Security Council, with a view to making it more representative and efficient, so that it could better respond to global challenges.
Foreign Ministers of China and Russia reiterated the importance they attached to the status of India in international affairs and supported its aspiration to play a greater role in the United Nations.

Source:http://asiaenergysecurity.com/

Subsidy share: Govt may spare upstream cos if oil below $60

0 comments
Close on the heels of quarterly results of oil companies and a possible 5 percent divestment in ONGC  , the Oil Ministry has proposed a new subsidy sharing proposal with the Finance Minister. Sources say as recently as last week, Oil Minister Dharmendra Pradhan has proposed upstream companies ONGC and Oil India should not make any contributions towards subsidy burden if crude prices are at or below USD 60 per barrel.

They will, however, take upon 85 percent of the burden if crude ranged between USD 60 and 100 and 90 percent if oil stays above USD 100. Sources told CNBC-TV18 that the Oil Ministry has also sent North Block supplementary demand for grants for FY15 based on the new proposal. It says that under recoveries in FY15 will be Rs 77,594 crore and upstream contribution in the second half of the fiscal will be at Rs 5078 cr. it has sought an additional budget provision of Rs 18254 crore for FY15.

Source: Moneycontrol

Natural Gas Boom Brings Major Growth for U.S. Chemical Plants

0 comments
The hydraulic fracturing of shale formations in the United States has led to a bonanza of natural gas production and a well-publicized drop in natural gas prices. But another, less-heralded development also is closely tied to the shale gas revolution — the rapid growth of chemical plants and manufacturing facilities that use cheap natural gas to produce key ingredients found in everything from plastics to fertilizer to liquid fuels.

“Plants use natural gas like a bakery shop uses flour,” said Dan Borne, president of the Louisiana Chemical Association. “All this stuff starts with natural gas, our basic feedstock, our daily bread.”

This boom is being felt across the U.S., and nowhere more so than the 80-mile stretch of the Mississippi River between New Orleans and Baton Rouge, Louisiana. There, more than 150 petrochemical facilities and refineries already sit shoulder-to-shoulder, emitting a wide range of pollutants and leading to the high cancer rates that have earned the region the nickname “Cancer Alley.”

Now, a new wave of chemical plants — including what will likely be the largest industrial project the state has ever seen — is coming to this part of Louisiana as a result of the fracking boom. This jump in industrialization, both in Louisiana and elsewhere, is raising fears among residents, scientists, and environmentalists that regions already bearing a significant pollution burden will now be facing rising emissions from new factories using natural gas as a feedstock.

"There are a lot of these facilities that are being developed just because there's an abundance of cheap natural gas," said Wilma Subra, a chemist with the Louisiana Environmental Action Network who has for decades worked with communities impacted by industrial pollution. "Once they start operating, it's a huge burden from the chemicals being released into the air and water in these communities."

The nonprofit Environmental Integrity Project released a report in December detailing the impacts of this industrial boom not only on levels of pollution but also on greenhouse gas emissions. It found that over the last three years, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and state agencies have issued draft or final permits to build or expand 105 oil, gas, or chemical plants that will all use shale gas or oil as a feedstock. Another 15 applications are pending. These 120 projects would boost U.S. greenhouse gas emissions by more than 130 million tons a year — the equivalent of as many as 28 coal-fired power plants, according to the report.

Illinois-based CF Industries is expanding fertilizer plants in Louisiana and Iowa, and CHS Inc. is building a $3 billion fertilizer plant in North Dakota using natural gas as its main feedstock. In Philadelphia, business interests, unions, and politicians have embarked on a “re-industrialization” of the city’s waterfront that will rely on new pipelines transporting natural gas from the Marcellus Shale region to manufacturing and refining facilities along the Delaware River.

Maya van Rossum, the Delaware Riverkeeper and head of the Delaware Riverkeeper Network, is concerned about the environmental and health effects of this boom. “The threat of air and water pollution from manufacturing that uses natural gas as a feedstock is very clear in Philadelphia, where pre-existing manufacturing and processing infrastructure is being transformed into quick service for shale gas without thorough analysis of the environmental and community impacts,” van Rossum said in an email.

In western Pennsylvania, Shell has proposed an “ethane cracker,” a plant that breaks — or cracks — ethane, found in natural gas, to produce ethylene, which is used in many products, from plastic bags to cosmetics to detergent. Northwest Innovation Works, a corporate partnership with major funding from China, has proposed two large-scale methanol plants using natural gas as a feedstock in Oregon and Washington, which would then ship the methanol to China for likely conversion to ethylene or propylene.

But the bulk of the construction continues to be centered in Louisiana and Texas, where industrial facilities already dominate the Gulf of Mexico coastline and the banks of the Mississippi River. Drive through Ascension or Calcasieu parishes in Louisiana and you see plant after plant with countless pipes and air stacks releasing vapors and odors into the atmosphere.

Business interests in Louisiana and elsewhere are calling this industrial shift a renaissance that will help revive local economies. Industry officials, as well as state regulators, also say that the new plants going up as a result of the natural gas boom will be well regulated and operate in an environmentally responsible manner.

Borne, of the Louisiana Chemical Association, said the industry operates “well within permitted environmental, health, and safety standards.” He added in an email, “I see the lengths to which our plants go to make sure everything they do is transparent and how the public is engaged in hearings that accompany the permitting process. In short, if I thought living along the ‘Ruhr of America’ was hurting my health, I'd been out of here decades ago.”

But Subra and environmental and public health groups say that this expanding industry has been allowed to operate with weak regulatory scrutiny. These critics contend that pollutants released by such clusters of industrial facilities have already contaminated local air and water supplies and taken a heavy toll on public health. Researchers have found benzene in the air, ethylene dichloride in groundwater, and high dioxin levels in the blood of residents of “Cancer Alley.” These are all chemicals that are known or probable carcinogens, and toxic to health in other ways as well.

Cancer rates are high and asthma rates are through the roof, according to the local nonprofit Louisiana Bucket Brigade and others who have examined health trends in the area.

Critics say the new facilities are going up with great cost to the same communities because in most cases, the more concentrated these pollutants become — and the more they are able to mix with each other in the environment — the more toxic they are. The impacts of adding more contaminants to an already-toxic mix is not a matter of simple addition, according to Subra and others. The pollutants have a compound effect and are cumulative.

"You're not being exposed to one chemical, you're being exposed to a whole host of them,” said Subra. “You don't add them together and say, `Well this is the impact.’ It's more than just additive.”

The big project underway in Louisiana, run by South Africa-based Sasol, will house an $8 billion “ethane cracker.” The company also had planned to build a $14 billion gas-to-liquids facility in Louisiana that would turn natural gas into diesel fuel. But those plans were put on hold this month as falling oil prices have undermined the economics of the project.

Sasol recently built the world’s first commercial "ethylene tetramerization unit," in Lake Charles, Louisiana, which converts ethylene to chemicals that are used to strengthen some plastics. The company has bought out about half the residents living in one community near the Lake Charles plant, according to Monique Harden, an attorney and co-director of the New Orleans-based Advocates for Environmental Human Rights. But residents still living in the area are worried about the impacts of the Sasol plant in addition to the industry that’s already there.

Harden is concerned that agencies won’t even know how to regulate the proposed Sasol gas-to-liquids facility because it will be the first one of its size in the country, and only a handful exist worldwide. “We're talking about a whole new kind of technology of taking fracked gas and synthetically converting it into liquid fuel,” said Harden. “There's a reason why these gas-to-liquid facilities are in these parts of the planet, and not in London or California or someplace where there's an understanding of public participation, democracy, public health.”

Bryan Johnston, an environmental scientist in the air permits division at the Louisiana Department of Environmental Quality (LDEQ), said that while the specific operation is new, the agency has plenty of experience with the chemicals involved. “The inputs and the outputs, those are all well-known and defined compounds that are regulated by the state and federal government,” he said. “We know what's going in, we know what's going out the stacks. That's what we need to ensure that the permit's protective.”

The region is already home to most of the country's large ethane crackers, the facilities that turn ethane into ethylene. According to the Environmental Protection Agency’s Toxics Release Inventory,reported database, in 2013 the Williams Olefins plant outside Baton Rouge released, among other chemicals, more than 14,000 pounds of benzene, 3,000 pounds of 1,3-butadiene (a colorless gas commonly found in motor vehicle exhaust and a carcinogen), and 148,000 pounds of ethylene into the environment. With the exception of ethylene, these chemicals released by the Williams Olefins plant are volatile organic compounds, or VOCs, which can cause health problems, including liver and kidney damage and possibly cancer. VOCs are also a main contributor to smog, which is comprised largely of ground-level ozone.

Two years ago, as a result of cheaper natural gas prices, Dow Chemical restarted an ethylene plant that had been idled for four years near Hahnville, Louisiana. Dow also has announced plans for a new ethylene production facility in Texas. Other companies are building plants to make ammonia, methanol, latex paints, and water-based coatings, all using natural gas as a feedstock.

In and around Philadelphia, a major effort is underway to convert active or idle industrial infrastructure along the Delaware River into a processing and manufacturing center that will rely heavily on piped-in natural gas from the Marcellus Shale region. A large petroleum products refiner, Philadelphia Energy Solutions, is turning part of its South Philadelphia facility into a shale oil processing hub. Sunoco Logistics is converting an existing petroleum pipeline to carry natural gas liquids from shale fields in southwestern Pennsylvania to a refining site near Philadelphia.

Van Rossum, the Delaware Riverkeeper, said these developments are occurring in an area whose surrounding neighborhoods already have substandard air quality and related health effects. And she said that developing the region’s riverfront as a shale gas hub is a continuation of the same old boom-and-bust resource cycles of the past; some analysts predict that Marcellus shale gas production could peak by 2040 or sooner.

Van Rossum said it makes more sense to transform the Philadelphia-area riverfront into a center of renewable energy investment. “If Philadelphia were to consider repurposing its resources for clean energy investments and riverfront enhancements, it would get the job and economic values of an energy industry on the rise — and the economic values and enhancements that healthy riverfront lands are known to provide,” said van Rossum.

Robert Kapp, a toxicologist with BioTox, a New Jersey-based consulting company specializing in regulatory compliance and risk assessments for toxic chemicals, said that many of the chemicals and compounds released by these plants are carcinogens and can alter DNA in cells. But, he emphasized, it’s the dose that matters; even a toxic chemical like benzene isn’t necessarily harmful in a small dose over a short time. He said that sunlight, bacteria, and other natural forces also can help dilute or break down some of these hazardous substances.

Frank Ackerman, an environmental economist with Synapse Energy Economics in Massachusetts, thinks it’s possible for the chemical industry to operate and expand in a sustainable manner — but that hasn’t been a priority. “In general, the cost of producing things cleanly has not been shown to be that high,” said Ackerman. “Industry has routinely complained that they were going to be bankrupted by environmental regulations, which they turned out to be able to live with.”

Source: e360.yale.edu

China's independent players push for access to LNG supplies

0 comments
Falling LNG costs and rising domestic gas prices in China have made opportunistic purchases increasingly attractive for non-traditional LNG buyers, which are now putting pressure on state-owned terminal operators to gain access to their import infrastructure.

Several private and state-owned companies -- which currently do not have access to receiving terminals or an established credit rating -- have stepped up discussions with the operators of China's terminals, requesting them to import LNG on their behalf, share cargoes or even grant direct access to their import facilities.

A state-owned importer said: "We are getting a lot of inquiries from partners, private companies and some smaller state-owned companies... A lot of them have approached us to share a cargo or buy one on their behalf."

In recent months, plunging LNG spot prices, coupled with rising domestic gas values, have created an incentive for smaller players looking to import LNG.

Platts JKM - LNG Japan Korea Spot Crg DES

With the JKM for March delivery at $7.75/MMBtu Monday, LNG spot prices are now soft enough for non-traditional buyers to cover the import, storage, regasification and leasing costs at a third-party terminal.

By comparison, pipeline gas prices were at $9.76/MMBtu at the Chinese border for December.

The Chinese government has twice raised non-residential gas prices since 2013, in line with its broader aim to reform the country's energy markets.

Residential users are also being moved to a three-tier pricing system segmented by consumption volume, which has seen hefty increases.

On January 14, China's National Development and Reform Commission also announced plans to link electricity tariffs for natural-gas-fired power plants with gas prices, in a bid to help operators cope with fuel costs.

"Domestic gas prices are so high that there is a great margin available," said Tony Regan, Principal Consultant with Singapore-based business consultancy Tri-Zen.

"A lot of the supply up to recently was coming from the onshore liquefaction plants, but from mid-last year, that supply is looking expensive... It is cheaper to import LNG than buy it from domestic producers."

CHINA'S IMPORT INFRASTRUCTURE UNDERUTILIZED

The logistics also seem favorable to the accommodation of third-party cargoes, as the majority of China's 12 LNG terminals are running at low operating rates.

According to import data released Monday, the average utilization rate at China's terminals was 55.24% in 2014. Only three of the country's terminals showed rates above 60% -- PetroChina's Rudong, and state-owned CNOOC's Guangdong Dapeng and Shanghai.

The low utilization is mainly due to slow downstream consumption, driven by rising prices, mild temperatures and sluggish economic growth.

The LNG market share has been further eroded by abundant pipeline imports from Myanmar and central Asia, record-high hydroelectric power production and plunging prices of alternative fuels such as crude oil and LPG.

So far, only Rudong appears to have been opened to third-party deliveries, with state-owned Shenergy receiving term volumes from Malaysia in August 2014.

The buyer normally imports LNG into the CNOOC-operated Shanghai LNG terminal, where it holds a 55% stake.

Private gas distributor ENN also took delivery of the Sonangol Benguela at Rudong in December, marking the first time a Chinese private buyer received a cargo through third-party access.

Market sources said Excelerate Energy had sold the cargo at a slight premium to the December JKM because of the uncertainty over availability of delivery slots for third-party cargoes at state-owned terminals.

Sellers are unwilling to take the risk of having a delivery canceled or postponed, which is why they may ask for premiums of at least 50 cents/MMBtu for third-party deliveries, a Singapore-based trader explained.

The trend looks set to continue, with PetroChina reported to have bought two January-delivery cargoes on behalf of two downstream buyers, and signed more than 10 Memorandum of Understanding agreements to facilitate third-party access to Rudong, market sources said.

STATE IMPORTERS SHOW MARKET SHARE CONCERNS

However, it is unclear whether all of these MOUs will materialize. While state-owned buyers are open to import LNG on behalf of third parties, they remain reluctant to widen direct access to their terminals.

Just as falling spot prices have created an attractive environment for newcomers, state-owned importers -- which are tied to high-cost, long-term contracts -- have grown increasingly concerned about losing market share in their downstream markets.

Their concerns are well founded.

Supplier Qatargas sold a 24,300 mt spot cargo to gas distributor Jovo Group in November 2014 at a price of approximately $13.50/MMBtu CIF.

This was more than 20% cheaper than the average price of $17.63/MMBtu CIF Chinese buyers paid for Qatari cargoes in the same month. Both PetroChina and CNOOC have significant term contracts with Qatar.

"There is room for cooperation, but not for leasing tolling capacity from state-owned terminals," a state-owned importer said.

Another said that no slots were available at its terminals in Q1, as LNG was needed in tank for winter peak shaving purposes.

However, as the government continues the push to increase the share of gas in the country's energy mix, state-owned companies are under mounting pressure to free up infrastructure to more end-users.

"The reality is that they are not fully utilizing those facilities... Some new terminals are running at very low operating rates, so they could lease capacity if they wanted to," said Regan.

"They will resist because it is a strategic asset for them... But that may change and the government is leaning towards that," he added.

Source: Platts